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3894 items in total found

Working Papers | 1991

Crisil Rating: When Does AAA Mean B?

Ragunathan V and Lahiri Somdeb

In this paper an attempt has been made to assess the quality of credit rating function being performed by CRISIL, hitherto the sole credit rating agency in India. With this objective, the paper attempts to answer two important questions, namely: a) Are CRISIL's standards of rating comparable to international standards? And b) Are CRISIL's rating internally consistent? The questions are answered by assessing the companies rated AAA by CRISIL on the Standard and Poor's (S&P) standards. It turns out that the CRISIL's AAA companies rate variously from B to A on the S&P standards! This indicates that CRISIL's credit rating standards are not only much below international standards, they are also internally inconsistent. CRISIL's rating reports on its AAA companies are carefully analyzed to see if the ratios employed by it are significantly different from those of S&P's so that their AAA ratings may be consistent vis-a-vis their own ratios rather than by S&P's ratios. Even this does not turn out to be so. CRISIL's rating reports are also analyzed for any qualitative reasons for the award of AAA ratings. No strong reasons are found. Thus it is concluded that the discriminating ability of CRISIL's ratings vis-à-vis risk and hence their meaningfulness and usability are in general questionable. This conclusion assumes all the more significance in the light of interest rates being allowed to be determined by market forces, and the interest rates in turn being linked to credit-worthiness of the borrowers more than ever before. Thus, the paper strengthens the case for more credit rating agencies both in the private as well public sector for making the rating business competitive. It also provides a more objective framework for assessing the performance of credit rating agencies in general.

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Working Papers | 1991

Indian Oilmeals/Cakes Scenario, 1961-90

Rao V M

NCA (1976) has estimated that 5.75 million tonnes of concentrates are needed to bridge the gap between availability and requirement. On the other hand demand for milk is increasing year after year due to population growth, and raise in per capital income. Hence demand for livestock feeds, for economic milk production, will increase. This paper is an attempt to review consumption, production and trade related aspects of oil meals India. Cotton, groundnut, and rapeseed are major oil cakes in terms of consumption, and production, though there are side fluctuations in their relative shares. Estimated elasticity of price, and adult bouines one of the expected signs and stastically different from zero at 99% level. India is a major exporter of oil meals in the world and on an average 20% of production is being exported to developed economies of the world.

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Working Papers | 1991

Seed Industry in India Achievements and Prospects for growth

Gurdev Singh and Asokan S R

The paper enlists important policy measures taken to develop seed industry in India since 1947, progress made, and prospects for its growth. It reveals that the protectionist policy on seeds was abandoned in late eighties when seed industry was placed in Appendix I of the licensing policy. Subsequently under the New Seeds policy import of some seeds was placed under Open General Licensing while that of some others was permitted for two years subject to transfer of technology by the foreign company. Though impact of all such measures could not be seen immediately, the quality seed production has increased to 5.7 million quintals in 1989-90. The number of seed organizations in public and private sector has gone up to over 100. Seed multiplication alone has achieved a turn over of over Rs.3,000 million, about 50 pr cent of which was due to private sector. Few private companies have taken up seed research and are able to evolve more than 100 varieties/hybrids. However, still there is a big gap between production and requirement of quality seed. The requirement is estimated at 11.74 million quintals for 1989-90 and 22.19 million quintals for 2000 AD. The seed replacement has been far below the recommended rate for almost all major crops primarily due to non-availability of quality seeds of suitable varieties. Besides, there is good export demand for Indian seeds. Also to feed the teaming millions farm production must increase on continuous basis and productivity being the prime contributor to increasing production, seed quality must improve. Thus investment in research has good prospects and private sector must avail this opportunity to supplement public sector efforts. Biotechnology is a new hope as it ensures quicker multiplication and new strains. All this reflects on the bright prospects of growth for seed industry in India, the paper concludes.

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Working Papers | 1991

A Partial Characterization of the Uncapacitated Lot-Sizing Problem with Start-up Costs

Kalro A H

We consider the facial structure of the Uncapacitated Lot-sizing problem with start-up costs. We show that under mild assumptions on the objective function cost structure, adding valid inequalities described by Wolsey (1989) to the linear programming relaxation of the problem guarantees optimal integer solutions. For the special cases of a time horizon of 3 or less, we show that the inequalities completely describe the convex hull of feasible integer solutions. We also identify a new class of valid inequalities for the problem.

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Working Papers | 1991

Developing Small Holders Agriculture Through Changing Crop Composition

Naik Gopal and Babu K R

Small size of holdings of a large proportion of farmers is considered a major bottleneck in increasing the income of the people in rural areas. In India the proportion of small holders is increasing over time. Previous studies have suggested policies oriented towards non-prince factors such as increasing yield and changing crop composition for improving their incomes. This study examines how sericulture could be an ideal enterprise for small and marginal farmers in India. Analysis of primary data collected from 3 taluks of Karnataka state suggested that sericulture is far more attractive compared to competing crops in the respective areas in terms of net returns, cash flows and employment generation. Increasing silk production can also help in increasing foreign exchange earnings. Moreover, sericulture has other desirable features such as increased employment opportunities for women. Therefore, efforts towards popularising sericulture among small and marginal farmers could help in improving the living standards of these farmers.

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Working Papers | 1991

Development of Food-Processing Industries

Desai B M and Nambudiri C N S

The paper has analysed development and financial, with special reference to working capital management, performance of the selected food-processing industries. It prioritizes these industries for their development based on these performance criteria. It also discusses strategy for accelerated development of these industries. Food-processing industries selected for the study are foodgrains milling, edible oilseeds processing, sugarcane processing, and milk processing. The paper also discusses the rationale for selection of these industries.

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Working Papers | 1991

Dilemmas of renewable Energy: The Case of the Solar Cooker Programme in Gujarat, India

Moorthy Ravi C

This article presents a set of measures for evaluating a social development programme such as the non-conventional energy programme. The specific case discussed and evaluated here is that of the solar cooker programme. Subsequently, the attempt is to identify key decision areas and raise some questions which may help focus better on the marketing problems confronting the programme.

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Working Papers | 1991

Protection to Domestic Industry: An Empirical Investigation

Aggarwal Ashok K

Recently there has been widespread debate on impact of protection on performance of domestic industry. It has been argued that protection to the Indian Industry during the last 40 years has resulted in poor performance of the industry in terms of productivity, technological development, low competitiveness because of poor quality of products at very high prices. Could we not have grown at the same rate as some of the Newly Industrialized Countries (NICs) by following the more open policy towards foreign capital and exports rather than following import-substitution path? This empirical study attempts to answer some of the questions posed above. This study examines the extent of protection to the domestic industry for the period 1974-78 (1970s) and 1982-84 (1980s). International average unit values and domestic prices of the industry are used to find the implicit and effective protection. It also examines the impact of protection on relative performance by using three different performance parameters. To study the distortionary effects on production technology it examines the relationship between protection and physical capital intensity. The main findings of the study are: (i) that protection has increased in the 1980s as compared to 1970s (ii) there is no conclusive evidence about the impact of protection on the performance variables over the two periods (iii) poor performance of Indian exports could not be attributed to the poor price competitiveness of our exports (iv) there is no evidence of distortionary effects of protection on the production technology.

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Working Papers | 1991

A Valuation Model for Indeterminate Convertibles

Jayanth R. Varma

Many issues of convertible debentures in India in recent years provide for a mandatory conversion of the debentures into an unspecified number of shares at an unspecified time; the conversion ratio (i.e., the number of shares per debenture) is to be determined by the Controller of Capital Issues (CCI). There are serious problems in arriving at a rational value for these "indeterminate convertibles". Even if the investor can make some estimate of the likely conversion terms, there is no valuation model available to arrive at a price. This paper applies the general theory of derivative securities (Cox, Ingersoll and Ross, 1985) to obtain a valuation model for these instruments. The model shows that the naive valuation model which sets the value of the debenture equal to the current stock price times the expected conversion ratio is likely to be a significant overestimate of the price. It also shows that changes in the stock price lead to less than proportionate changes in the debenture price unlike in the case of pre-specified conversion terms. Similarly, the CAPM beta of the debenture would be significantly lower than that of the share. While the model does not obviate the need for obtaining estimates of unobservable parameters related to the market expectations about the likely conversion ratio, the qualitative insights given by the model are quite useful. The model is successful in explaining some of the empirical patterns and anomalies that have been observed in ongoing empirical research into the market prices of these debentures.

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Working Papers | 1991

Market Valuation Model Under Differential Taxes, Inflation, Recurring Investments and Flotation Costs

Ragunathan V and Jayanth R. Varma

The extent literature on valuation identifies several important variables affecting the value of a firm. These include, corporate and personal taxes, reinvestments, leverage, dividend policy, and inflation. But, most of the papers have focussed only on a small number of these variables at a time and constructed comparatively simple valuation models designed to answer relatively limited questions in valuation theory. However, the fact remains that the above variables interact in quite complex ways, and it is necessary to have a comprehensive valuation model which captures most of the complexities and subtleties of real world corporate finance. This paper is an attempt at developing such a model. The model is capable of supporting both the Gordon and MM type assumptions about the investment policy of the firm. It allows for personal taxes with differential tax rates for dividends, interest and capital gains. The model also takes into account flotation costs on debt and equity. Further, unlike other models which define capital gains as the increase in the book value which in turn equals retained earnings, this model interprets capital gains as the increase in the market value of the share. Finally, the model is modified to take into account Lintner's concern about inflation eroding the real value of the firm's assets, particularly, net monetary working capital. The paper also numerically depicts the impact of manifold taxes on valuation and the complex interactions of different variables in influencing the firm value.

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