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887 items in total found

Journal Articles | 2017

Financial fluctuations anchored to economic fundamentals: A mesoscopic network approach

Kiran Sharma, Balagopal Gopalakrishnan, Anindya S. Chakrabarti, and Anirban Chakraborti

Scientific Reports

We demonstrate the existence of an empirical linkage between nominal financial networks and the underlying economic fundamentals, across countries. We construct the nominal return correlation networks from daily data to encapsulate sector-level dynamics and infer the relative importance of the sectors in the nominal network through measures of centrality and clustering algorithms. Eigenvector centrality robustly identifies the backbone of the minimum spanning tree defined on the return networks as well as the primary cluster in the multidimensional scaling map. We show that the sectors that are relatively large in size, defined with three metrics, viz., market capitalization, revenue and number of employees, constitute the core of the return networks, whereas the periphery is mostly populated by relatively smaller sectors. Therefore, sector-level nominal return dynamics are anchored to the real size effect, which ultimately shapes the optimal portfolios for risk management. Our results are reasonably robust across 27 countries of varying degrees of prosperity and across periods of market turbulence (2008–09) as well as periods of relative calmness (2012–13 and 2015–16).

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Journal Articles | 2017

How to answer some tricky interview questions?

Asha Kaul

HBR Ascend

Journal Articles | 2017

Family deviance, self-control, deviant lifestyles, and youth violent victimization: A latent indirect effects analysis

Margit Wiesner and Kathan Shukla

Victims & Offenders

Research increasingly explores more complex relations of low self-control and context factors, such as structural constraints that limit behavioral lifestyle options, with violent victimization. The authors extend extant research by examining indirect effects of low self-control and family deviance on violent victimization via deviant lifestyles. The hypothesized full indirect effects model is tested for 233 African American and Hispanic 11th-grade students using latent variable analysis. Results offer strong support for the full indirect effects hypothesis. Results generally support the utility of an integrative framework that includes structural constraints arising from the family setting.

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Journal Articles | 2017

Please do interrupt, but nicely! The effect of positive and negative interruptions on product evaluation and choice

Ankur Kapoor and Arvind Sahay

Advances in Consumer Research, 45, 701-702

This research studies the affective consequences of interruptions on evaluation and choice. Six studies demonstrate that positive (negative) interruptions lead to unfavourable (favourable) evaluation and lower (higher) choice of pre-interruption products; but favourable (unfavourable) evaluation and higher (lower) choice of post-interruption products. Relevant mediation and moderation effects are also found.

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Journal Articles | 2017

Through the looking Glass: Role of construal level on description-intensive reviews

Swagato Chatterjee and Aruna Divya T

Advances in Consumer Research

Focus on consumer engagement has led service providers to explore contextual factors influencing consumers’ satisfaction. In this paper, we draw insights from Construal Level Theory to identify the conditions when own vs. others’ experiences along with Process vs. Outcome attributes of services become more important in overall service evaluation

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Journal Articles | 2017

Distribution of Traffic Accident Times in India - Some Insights using Circular Data Analysis

Arnab Kumar Laha, Pravida Raja A.C., and Dilip Kumar Ghosh

International Journal of Business Analytics and Intelligence

Traffic accidents are a major hazard for travellers on Indian roads. These are caused by a variety of reasons including the bad condition of roads, traffic density, lack of proper training of drivers, slack in enforcement of traffic rules, poor road lighting etc. It is further known that certain times of the day are more prone to traffic accidents than others. In this paper we investigate the distribution of traffic accident times using the data published annually by the National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB) over the period 2001-2014 using the tools of circular data analysis. It is seen that the observed distribution of the traffic accident times in most years is bimodal. Thus, several modelling strategies for bimodal distributions are tried which include fitting of mixture of von-Mises distributions and mixture of Kato-Jones distribution. It is seen from this analysis that the distribution of the traffic accident times are changing over the years. Notably, the proportion of accidents happening in late night has reduced over the years while the same has increased for late evening hours. Some more insights obtained from this analysis are also discussed.

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Journal Articles | 2017

A novel sandwich algorithm for empirical Bayes analysis of rank data

Arnab Kumar Laha, Somak Dutta, and Vivekananda Roy

Statistics and its interface

Rank data arises frequently in marketing, finance, organizational behavior, and psychology. Most analysis of rank data reported in the literature assumes the presence of one or more variables (sometimes latent) based on whose values the items are ranked. In this paper we analyze rank data using a purely probabilistic model where the observed ranks are assumed to be perturbed versions of the true rank and each perturbation has a specific probability of occurring. We consider the general case when covariate information is present and has an impact on the rankings. An empirical Bayes approach is taken for estimating the model parameters. The Gibbs sampler is shown to converge very slowly to the target posterior distribution and we show that some of the widely used empirical convergence diagnostic tools may fail to detect this lack of convergence. We propose a novel, fast mixing sandwich algorithm for exploring the posterior distribution. An EM algorithm based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling is developed for estimating prior hyperparameters. A real life rank data set is analyzed using the methods developed in the paper. The results obtained indicate the usefulness of these methods in analyzing rank data with covariate information.

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Journal Articles | 2017

Evolutionary algorithm for bilevel optimization using approximations of the lower level optimal solution mapping.

Ankur Sinha, Pekka Malo, and Kalyanmoy Deb

European Journal of Operational Research

Bilevel optimization problems are a class of challenging optimization problems, which contain two levels of optimization tasks. In these problems, the optimal solutions to the lower level problem become possible feasible candidates to the upper level problem. Such a requirement makes the optimization problem difficult to solve, and has kept the researchers busy towards devising methodologies, which can efficiently handle the problem. Despite the efforts, there hardly exists any effective methodology, which is capable of handling a complex bilevel problem. In this paper, we introduce bilevel evolutionary algorithm based on quadratic approximations (BLEAQ) of optimal lower level variables with respect to the upper level variables. The approach is capable of handling bilevel problems with different kinds of complexities in relatively smaller number of function evaluations. Ideas from classical optimization have been hybridized with evolutionary methods to generate an efficient optimization algorithm for a wide class of bilevel problems. The performance of the algorithm has been evaluated on two sets of test problems. The first set is a recently proposed SMD test set, which contains problems with controllable complexities, and the second set contains standard test problems collected from the literature. The proposed method has been compared against three benchmarks, and the performance gain is observed to be significant. The codes related to the paper may be accessed from the website http://bilevel.org.

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Journal Articles | 2017

Approximated set-valued mapping approach for handling multiobjective bilevel problems

Ankur Sinha, Pekka Malo, and Kalyanmoy Deb

Computers & Operations Research

A significant amount of research has been done on bilevel optimization problems both in the realm of classical and evolutionary optimization. However, the multiobjective extensions of bilevel programming have received relatively little attention from researchers in both the domains. The existing algorithms are mostly brute-force nested strategies, and therefore computationally demanding. In this paper, we develop insights into multiobjective bilevel optimization through theoretical progress made in the direction of parametric multiobjective programming. We introduce an approximated set-valued mapping procedure that would be helpful in the development of efficient evolutionary approaches for solving these problems. The utility of the procedure has been emphasized by incorporating it in a hierarchical evolutionary framework and assessing the improvements. Test problems with varying levels of complexity have been used in the experiments.

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Journal Articles | 2017

Optimal management of naturally regenerating uneven-aged forests

Ankur Sinha, Janne Ramo, Pekka Malo, and Olli Tahvonen

European Journal of Operational Research

A shift from even-aged forest management to uneven-aged management practices leads to a problem rather different from the existing straightforward practice that follows a rotation cycle of artificial regeneration, thinning of inferior trees and a clearcut. A lack of realistic models and methods suggesting how to manage uneven-aged stands in a way that is economically viable and ecologically sustainable creates difficulties in adopting this new management practice. To tackle this problem, we make a two-fold contribution in this paper. The first contribution is the proposal of an algorithm that is able to handle a realistic uneven-aged stand management model that is otherwise computationally tedious and intractable. The model considered in this paper is an empirically estimated size-structured ecological model for uneven-aged spruce forests. The second contribution is on the sensitivity analysis of the forest model with respect to a number of important parameters. The analysis provides us an insight into the behavior of the uneven-aged forest model.

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