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887 items in total found

Journal Articles | 2020

Implications of land use transitions and climate change on local flooding in urban areas: An assessment of 42 Indian cities

Vidhee Avashia and Amit Garg

Land Use Policy

Urban development induced land transitions affect urban hydrology, resulting in increased flooding risks. Climate change-related precipitation changes are an added complexity to the flood risks of cities. This study examines the role of land use changes in determining the occurrence of urban flooding events across 42 Indian cities under current and future climate change scenarios. Landsat images for 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2017 have been processed using a hybrid classification technique to determine the land use shares for all cities. A typical event-count study using newspaper archives has been conducted to create a flooding event database. A multilevel model employing logistic mixed-effects approach was used. Future projections of the occurrence of flooding events for nine models under three climate change-related Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)—2.6, 4.5, and 8.5—and three urban development scenarios have been carried out. The results suggest that cities should preserve the land uses that act as a sponge—the green, open and blue spaces. As these spaces decrease, the projected flooding events increase. Under the RCP 2.6 scenario, the number of flooding events is significantly lower (95 % confidence) than under RCPs 4.5 and 8.5. The expected flooding occurrences between RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 are not significantly different (95 % confidence) for many scenarios, suggesting that Indian cities should aim for a world temperature increase of below 2 °C, or devastating consequences are imminent. This study highlights the need for Indian cities to undertake integrated spatial planning measures for a resilient, sustainable urban future.

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Journal Articles | 2020

Using complier average causal effect estimation to examine student outcomes of the pax good behavior game when integrated with the PATHS curriculum

Catherine P. Bradshaw, Kathan Shukla, Elise T. Pas, Juliette K. Berg, and Nicholas S. Lalongo

Administration and Policy in Mental Health and Mental Health Services Research

A growing body of research has documented a link between variation in implementation dosage and outcomes associated with preventive interventions. Complier Average Causal Effect (CACE; Jo in J Educ Behav Stat 27:385-409, 2002) analysis allows for estimating program impacts in light of variation in implementation. This study reports intent-to-treat (ITT) and CACE findings from a randomized controlled trial (RCT) testing the impacts of the universal PAX Good Behavior Game (PAX GBG) integrated with Promoting Alternative Thinking Strategies (i.e., PATHS to PAX) and PAX GBG only compared to a control. This study used ratings by 318 K-5 teachers of 1526 at-risk children who, at baseline, were rated as displaying the top 33rd percentile of aggressive-disruptive behavior. Leveraging a prior study on these data (Berg et al. in Admin Policy Ment Health Ment Health Serv Res 44:558-571, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10488-016-0738-1 , 2017), CACE was defined as the effect of intervention assignment for compliers, using two compliance cut points (50th and 75th percentile), on posttest ratings of student academic engagement, social competence, peer relations, emotion regulation, hyperactivity, and aggressive-disruptive behavior. The ITT analyses indicated improvements for students in the integrated condition on ratings of social competence compared to the control condition. The CACE analyses also indicated significant effects of the integrated intervention on social competence, as well as academic engagement and emotion regulation for students in high compliance classrooms. These findings illustrate the importance of considering variation in implementation within the context of RCTs.

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Journal Articles | 2020

Modeling and design of container terminal operations

Debjit Roy, Rene De Koster, and Rene Bekker

Operations Research

The design of container terminal operations is complex because multiple factors affect operational performance. These factors include numerous choices for handling technology, terminal topology, and design parameters and stochastic interactions between the quayside, stackside, and vehicle transport processes. In this research, we propose new integrated queuing network models for rapid design evaluation of container terminals with automated lift vehicles and automated guided vehicles. These models offer the flexibility to analyze alternate design variations and develop insights. For instance, the effect of different vehicle dwell point policies is analyzed using state-dependent queues, whereas the efficient terminal layout is determined using variation in the service time expressions at the stations. We show the relation among the dwell point–dependent waiting times and also show their asymptotic equivalence at heavy traffic conditions. These models form the building blocks for design and analysis of large-scale terminal operations. We test the model efficacy using detailed in-house simulation experiments and real-terminal validation by partnering with an external party.

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Journal Articles | 2020

The doctrine of frustration under section 56 of the Indian Contract Act

M P Ram Mohan, Promode Murugavelu, Gaurav Ray, and Kritika Parakh

Indian Law Review

The performance of obligations under a contract may be hindered by unexpected supervening events, leading to contractual uncertainties. The doctrine of frustration paves the way for a just consequence of such an unfortunate event, which has happened without any fault of the contracting parties. The doctrine fills the void in a contract regarding supervening events, based on principles of fairness and equity. Considering the large implications on the obligatory and binding nature of a valid contract, it becomes important to analyse the factors that guide the courts to determine its application. Unlike common law, the Indian Contract law explicitly incorporates the doctrine of frustration under section 56 of the Contract Act. However, the evolution of this doctrine in India has been greatly influenced by English law. This paper attempts to restate the law on the doctrine of frustration as applicable in India.

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Journal Articles | 2020

Alternate solution approaches for competitive hub location problems

Richa Tiwari, Sachin Jayaswal, and Ankur Sinha

European Journal of Operational Research

In this paper, we study the hub location problem of an entrant airline that tries to maximize
its share in a market with already existing competing players. The problem is modelled as a nonlinear
integer program, which is intractable for off-the-shelf commercial solvers, like CPLEX and
Gurobi, etc. Hence, we propose four alternate approaches to solve the problem. The first among
them uses the Kellys cutting plane method, the second is based on a mixed integer second order
conic program reformulation, the third uses the Kellys cutting plane method within Lagrangian
relaxation, while the fourth uses second order conic program within Lagrangian relaxation. The
main contribution of this paper lies in the fourth approach, which along with refinements is the
most efficient. Many of the problem instances that were not solvable using standard techniques,
like the Kellys cutting plane method, have been solved in less than 2 hours of CPU time within
1% optimality gap.

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Journal Articles | 2020

Right of recourse claims based on latent defects in the nuclear energy sector in India: Brace yourself for fact-intensive disputes

M P Ram Mohan and Els Reynaers

The University of Pennsylvania Asian Law Review

This working paper is focused on trying to interpret the meaning of "latent defects" and analysing how a case were to unfold if an operator of nuclear installation were to exercise its right of recourse against a supplier in the event of supply of equipment or material with latent defects, as envisaged under the unique Section 17(b) of the Civil Liability for Nuclear Damage Act, 2010 (CLND Act), as adopted by the Indian Parliament. Therefore, this paper presumes and builds on the assumption of some prior knowledge of general nuclear law principles as well as the CLND Act and related debates. We welcome comments on any part of the paper.

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Journal Articles | 2020

Ripples on financial networks

Sudarshan Kumar, Avijit Bansal, and Anindya S. Chakrabarti

The European Journal of Finance

In the financial markets, asset returns exhibit collective dynamics masking individual impacts on the rest of the market. Hence, it is still an open problem to identify how shocks originating from one particular asset would create spillover effects across other assets. The problem is more acute when there is a large number of simultaneously traded assets, making the identification of which asset affects which other assets even more difficult. In this paper, we construct a network of the conditional volatility series estimated from asset returns and propose a many-dimensional VAR model with unique identification criteria based on the network topology. Because of the interlinkages across stocks, volatility shock to a particular asset propagates through the network creating a ripple effect. Our method allows us to find the exact path the ripple effect follows on the whole network of assets.

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Journal Articles | 2019

Forefather distribution in a variant of Galton-Watson branching process.

Arnab Kumar Laha and Sumit Kumar Yadav

Stochastic Models

In this paper, we consider a variant of a discrete time Galton–Watson Branching Process in which an individual is allowed to survive for more than one (but finite) number of generations and may also give birth to offsprings more than once. We model the process using multitype branching process and derive conditions on the mean matrix that determines the long-run behavior of the process. Next, we analyze the distribution of the number of forefathers in a given generation. Here, number of forefathers of an individual is defined as all the individuals since zeroth generation who have contributed to the birth of the individual under consideration. We derive an exact expression for expected number of individuals in a given generation having a specified number of forefathers. Using this exact expression, we provide a detailed analysis for a simple illustrative case. Some interesting insights and possible applications are also discussed.

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Journal Articles | 2019

The geography of medical travel in India: Differences across states, and the urban-rural divide

Sandip Chakrabarti and Aruna Divya T

Applied Geography

There is a large body of literature exploring spatial disparity in access to healthcare services, and the resultant geographic inequality in the demand for medical travel. We are, however, unaware of any such study conducted in India in the past. The transportation implications of inequitable healthcare access, therefore, remains unknown to Indian planners and policymakers. We use a unique dataset, the 2014–15 Domestic Tourism Expenditure survey conducted by the National Sample Survey Office, Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, Government of India, to address this critical gap in the literature. We use trip-making information of 42,547 persons (13,525 urban and 29,022 rural residents) belonging to 28 Indian states in order to analyze the variation in individuals' medical trip destination choice, on average, across states. We analyze overnight trips (i.e., trips involving at least one night stay away from home) made for medical purposes only. Specifically, we isolate and compare the independent influence of state of residence (i.e., the state-effect) on residents' choice of within-district and out-of-state medical care location, after controlling for various personal and household factors that also govern choice. Additionally, we select a sub-sample of individuals who made out-of-state medical trips, and analyze state-level differences in the likelihood of long or >1500 km (vs. short or ≤1500 km) distance medical travel. We analyze urban and rural residents separately, and estimate a pooled model to explore intra-state urban-rural differences in medical trip destination choice. Our analyses reveal significant variation in urban and rural residents' destination choice for medical trips across India's states. We also find within-state urban-rural differences in destination choice to vary significantly across states. Our analysis provides new information on the geography of medical travel in India, underscoring the need for further research on the causes and consequences of the geographic disparity in healthcare access, and targeted action to improve healthcare access equitably across states. We expect our paper to stimulate further research to guide national and state health and transportation policies in India.

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Journal Articles | 2019

Payment methods and their effect on durable goods replacement

Aruna Divya T and Kanchan Mukherjee

Journal of Consumer Marketing

Purpose

Unlike point of purchase behavior, not much is known about how payment method impacts post-purchase behavior, especially for durable goods where user experience can last over long periods. The purpose of this paper is to link two strands of literature for the first time by uncovering systematic linkages between the payment method (upfront cash vs loan) used for purchase of durable goods and the replacement timings for the same.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors predict that cash purchases are more likely to have shorter replacement horizons compared to loan purchases and propose a psychological mechanism that accounts for the same. Their arguments are based on how the strength of coupling, which is the degree of psychological association between payment and consumption, depends on the payment method and differentially influences the consumption experience and consequently leads to different replacement horizons. They conduct a field study to test their predictions and find support for their model.

Findings

The authors find that individuals who financed their durable goods purchases using loan, expressed their intentions to replace the goods after longer period than those who financed their durable goods with cash down payment. As loan installments remind people of painful thoughts of payment, they tend to reduce the dissonance by positively evaluating both retrospective and anticipated usage experiences. This dissonance reduction mechanism eventually leads to reduced willingness to let go of the durable.

Practical implications

Marketers are faced with a tradeoff between increasing purchase likelihood versus ensuring long-term post-purchase satisfaction. In this paper, the authors uncover the psychological mechanisms that can explain how payment method chosen to pay for a durable can have direct effect on post-purchase consumption experiences and subsequently in the replacement intentions. This finding is crucial for marketers who are interested in planning the product line launches and other post-purchase engagement strategies such as buy-back scheme and upgrades.

Social implications

Understanding the psychological mechanisms that explain individual’s likelihood to replace their durable goods allows policymakers to design appropriate interventions to induce more sustainable and efficient use of durable goods in the market. While on one hand, marketers might be interested in increasing sales of their product line by inducing faster replacement of older product versions, environmentalists nudge towards the opposite. This paper provides a possible way to achieve the dual objectives.

Originality/value

While past research on downstream effects of payment methods on behavioral outcomes focused only on consumables, the authors focus on durable goods. Further, they identify the effect of payment method on both psychological and behavioral outcomes.

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IIMA