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Working Papers | 1993

Prospects of Foreign Direct Investments into India in the Nineties

Sebastian Morris

The eighties have witnessed major changes in the phenomenon of foreign direct investments (FDI). There have been major shifts their sources and destinations. Japan became an important source, the US the largest host for inward FDI both of Japanese and Western European based FDI. The important underlying reason has been the declining competitive position of US firms in relation to German and Japanese firms, and the assemetry in growth between the three advanced regions-the USA, Japan and Western Europe. An important development has been the emergence, and now dominance, of services related FDI, although these flows have as yet to affect the LDCs significantly. The host countries within the LDCs too have changed as growth in Latin America has collapsed or declined in the eighties. The fast growing economies of East and South East Asia, have became important hosts, since non resource seeking FDI typically seeks to follow growth. There have been changes too within the Indian economy. The eighties witnessed good growth after a near recessionary period of nearly a decade and a half. It is argued that while the FDI inflow into India is likely to increase in the nineties, such increase is contingent on the maintenance of the industrial growth of the eighties in this decade too. Inflows anywhere near the Chinese level is quite out of question, except in the remote chance that India achieves the 'high speed' growth of China. FDI into India is more likely to take the form of joint-ventures and other so called 'non-equity' forms. As indigenous businesses have gathered strength over the period of sheltered growth in the eighties (and even earlier), FDI entry into India would rarely be without an active Indian collaborator. FDI has had little role to play in the manufactured exports growth from most of the NICs, and their role in India is likely to be even less significant. Yet other foreign firms (like retail chain stores in the West, the Shogo Shosho of Japan) and transnationals too, have, to the great benefit of LDC firms sourced manufactured items from them, the LDC firms having acted as subcontractors or as OEM suppliers. Given the wide diversification of the economy, the low cost of manpower, availability of a wide variety of skills, and large excess capacities, subcontracting and OEM relationship in manufacturing can provide the crucial economies of scale, and steady market to segments of Indian manufacturing which are most competitive, even if at low margins, so that a significant contribution to the extensification of growth can be made.

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Working Papers | 1993

Towards an Orderly Indian Market for Corporate Control

Venkiteswaran N

As the Indian economy is being modernized through dismantling of rigid controls and greater reliance on the interplay market forces, the Indian industry is likely to witness major restructuring through a spate of mergers and acquisitions. This paper begins with a short overview of the benefits and drawbacks of what is referred to a market for corporate control in the light of the developed country experience. It than examines the historical impediments against corporate restructuring through mergers and takeovers in India. The paper is of the view that given the economic compulsions, India is also about to witness significant spurt in mergers and acquisitions in the coming years. In this emerging scenario, importance of regulatory reforms covering a wide area such as competition, investor protection, taxation, corporate governance etc. is underscored so that the Indian market for corporate control is developed along orderly lines.

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Working Papers | 1992

Revitalizing the Cooperative Agriculture Credit Structure: A Case Study of Kheda District

Seetharaman S P, Gurdev Singh, and Srivastava Uma Kant

With a view to understand the current status and working of Cooperative credit Structure and to formulate the strategy they need to follow in the coming decade, Kheda district in Gujarat selected for a case study. On the basis of insights developed, the strategy needed to strengthen the cooperative credit structure is discussed in this paper. Selection I gives a brief review of the changes made for strengthening the cooperatives on the basis of the recommendations of various committees. Section II presents a brief performance review of cooperative credit in Kheda district and Section III the alternative strategies available to strengthen cooperative credit movement. The last is the concluding section. After the comprehensive analysis, the paper makes a radical suggestion of delinking agricultural credit from PACS and entrusting it to the DCCB. PACS may be encouraged to diversify to provide technological inputs with support in storage, processing and marketing to their members. The paper however, adds a word of caution. Merely divesting credit from the primary cooperative may not be an end in itself. Simultaneous efforts in professionalising banking at DCCB level and ability to prepare business plan at the primary level are important. Though not directly relevant, it is equally important that the cooperative law of India, mainly conceived and continuously amended keeping cooperative credit movement in view, needs to be thoroughly rehashed.

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Working Papers | 1992

Indian Economic Forecast November 1992

Rastogi A B

There are confusing signals which are being given by different ministers and their officials about the health of Indian economy. Among all this brouhaha attempt is made to give economic logic to events occurring around us and it is argued that the liberalisation process is very much on track. There is general sluggishness in the economy partly owing to hoarding by traders and slackness in domestic demand for consumer goods. The back of spiraling inflation has been broken and heat of competition is being felt in market place. The governments' credibility is at stake and hence in the coming budget we are not likely to see any hesitation or delay in implementing pre-announced reforms in trade sector and industrial sector.

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Working Papers | 1992

Marketing of Scales in India: Status and Issues

Gurdev Singh and Asokan S R

Seed is a unique agricultural input in the sense it has life, it imbibes productivity potential in it, and it can be multiplied by farmers themselves. In most crops it is the cheapest of all inputs required for increased production. This paper presents brief introduction to the nature of this input, description of existing delivery system identification of issues related to seed marketing in India. The issues are concerned with the primary seed market demand forecast and operational aspects of seed marketing.

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Working Papers | 1992

Finance for Non-Farm Rural Activities

Gurdev Singh

Rural India supplies a number of non-farm products for consumption in local market, regional market or even international market. Their production is normally carried out in the decentralised sector. The raw materials are either locally produced or managed from outside. Marketing and financing are the two important functions recognised for the success of such activities. This paper gives a brief idea about the availability of institutional finance to this sector. It also reflects on the performance of 'Automatic Refinance Facility of NABARD for financing rural non-farm activities and suggests changes in the facility for providing necessary finance for the development of this important sector.

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Working Papers | 1992

Monotonic Solutions to Production Planning Problems

Lahiri Somdeb

A common problem in production planning for a public firm producing n distinct commodities in the same plant and facing a cost constraint, is the choice of the levels of output of the various commodities. This is a classical problem in the theory of publicly regulated firms and assumes significance in the absence of objective guidelines in determining the levels of output. It is to the study of such problems that we focus in this paper.

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Working Papers | 1992

A Preliminary Note on Rain-Shadow Effect and Strategic Forestry

Gaikwad V R

The purpose of this note is to present some tentative ideas on rain-shadow effect which may lead to further exploration of: a) The relationship between the rain-shadow effect of the Western Ghats (the Syhadri ranges) and the drought-prone regions in the Peninsular India, especially, the Deccan Plateau; b) Factors associated with the location of and areas under the rain-shadow; and c) Possible effect of manipulation of these factors, (e.g. strategically developed forest cover) on the location of and area under rain-shadow. Underlying this exploration is a question and a philosophy. Why some regions in the Peninsular India have low rainfall and are drought-prone? If low rainfall is due to rain-shadow, we have two options: One, consider rain-shadow as a given, perpetual, natural topographical/geographical constraint, and concentrate on such activities as exploitation and conservation of available underground and surface water, bringing water to the region by canals, and undertaking relief operations during droughts. Two, scientifically analyse the very cause, namely, the factors associated with the rain-shadow effect, and explore the possibility of manipulating these factors to minimize the rain-shadow effect.

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Working Papers | 1992

Transition in Indian Society - Part-I The Emotive Maps from the Agrarian Ethos

Garg Pulin K and Parikh Indira J

This paper examines the transition occurring in Indian society. For centuries Indian culture, society and its social design is anchored in the traditional agrarian ethos. In the context of this ethos the paper discusses i) the macro-analysis of the Indian ethos and culture, ii) micro-analysis of its institutions and iii) micro-analysis of individuals and unit communities. It further identifies the processes of the Indian ethos viz. the psycho-cultural processes, the social design, the social infrastructures, and the value assumptions as held by the Indian society. The Indian psyche carries the Indian ethos as its heritage in the emotional map of the society and people. The transition to the technological industrial society gives rise to a different experiential ethos leading to emergent new maps of the society. The Indian society and individuals have to make choices in the context of this transition and their choices will shape the emergence of today's society and organizations.

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Working Papers | 1992

Transition in Indian Society - Part-II Constituents of Technological Industrial Society

Garg Pulin K and Parikh Indira J

This paper explores the constituents of the technological industrial society. It historically reviews the emergence of new societal maps through Renaissance to second world war. It then crystallizes the constituents of the technological ethos. The constituents are mobility, structure of authority, creation of new goal sets, emergence of voluntary relations, extension of internship period, and the nature of work design. The above new processes confronts Indian men women with two contradictory forces. Individuals and society are pulled and pushed in multiple directions and have to make choices. The transition from one society to another anchored in two different ethos creates value dilemmas. One focuses on relationships while other focuses on tasks. These have implications for to-days younger generation in search for partnership and membership in both primary which is family and secondary which are formal work organizations.

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