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Working Papers | 1999

WTO Agreements and Indian Agriculture: Retrospection and Prospects

Satish Y. Deodhar

By the end of 1999 World Trade Organization (WTO) will complete its five years of existence. At that time, re-negotiation on Agreement on Agriculture (AOA) will also begin. It is time to take a retrospective look at what were the expected gains for India, how was the AOA implemented, and ponder over India's prospects in the up-coming re-negotiations. While the predictions of various macro-models about the gains to Indian agriculture and farmer were not unequivocal, their implicit assumption of perfectly competitive export markets is also questionable. Under imperfectly competitive export market structure, improvement in the terms-of-trade for Indian agriculture may be very limited. Whatever little improvement in terms-of-trade may occur, it may not have a favourable effect as agricultural supply response to changes in terms-of-trade is quite ambiguous. Moreover, the ex-post gains accruing to Indian agriculture so far seem to be very little since developed countries have used various escape routes in the WTO agreements to minimise their reform commitments. India will have to concentrate on non-price factors to improve welfare in the agricultural sector. The prospects of getting additional gains in the up-coming re-negotiations hinge on how India can take maximum advantage of the existing clauses of the AOA, and, to what extent it is successful in amending some of the clauses to its advantage.

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Working Papers | 1999

Dynamic Demand Analysis of India Domestic Coffee Market

Satish Y. Deodhar and Venkatram R

Coffee, although an important commodity in India agricultural exports, has faced fluctuating international prices and decreasing unit value realisation, especially in the post-reform period. Hence, domestic market for coffee cannot be neglected altogether. In fact, Coffee Board has proposed a promotional campaign to increase domestic demand for coffee. In this context, it becomes necessary to understand weather the emphasis should be on price incentives or nonprice factors. We estimate coffee demand for the Indian domestic market using the dynamic error-correction methodology (ECM). Results show that while demand for coffee is inelastic in the long-run, it is highly inelastic in the short-run. This suggests that Coffee Board may focus efforts on non-price factors rather than price incentives in their generic coffee promotional campaign.

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Working Papers | 1999

GEB Reforms: A Note on Regulatory Strategy and an Approach to Privatisation

Sebastian Morris

Briefly the proposal is for market competition in generation, through the development of a hybrid wholesale and retail (for bulk consumers alone) market. It is not a marker for all the electricity in the system, but largely a market that would allow distribution-cum-generation companies to purchase power from each other, and form pure generators; and would also allow bulk purchases and captive generators the choice of supply and customer. A market for generation, while allowing distribution companies the comfort of having some distribution assets, would lead to quicker development of the market and allow easier privatisation. The transmission assets of the GEB would need to be in a PSU with 50% shareholding by the state government and all other shares held by consumer interests including farmers' cooperatives, households and industry associations and at least 25% of the stock disbursed through the stock market.

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Working Papers | 1999

Axiomatic Characterizations of Voting Operators

Lahiri Somdeb

In this paper we provide a model for the analysis of the electoral process. We prove some theorems in this paper, which characterize some voting operators. Apart form other well-known voting operators existing in the literature, we also provide an axiomatic characterization of the first past the post voting rule. In a final section, we take up the problem of a rationalizable voting operators. It is observed that except in the trivial case where every feasible alternative that is voted for by somebody, is chosen, no other voting operator is rationalizable. However, we are able to offer a necessary and sufficient condition for voting operators, to always select the best elements from the feasible set, according to a reflexive, complete and transitive binary relations.

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Working Papers | 1999

Organisational Climate, Tolerance of Ambiguity and Learned Helplessness as Correlates to Managerial Effectiveness and Creativity

Chauhan V S, Dhar U, Pathak R D, and Pestonjee D M

We are entering the twenty first century where the only thing we can be certain about is the prevalence of uncertainty. In such an environment characterised by uncertainty, the manager has to be a change agent by being creative and effective in his managerial role. Creativity and effectiveness of managers as change agents are function of their perception of the organisational climate as well as personally attributes like tolerance of ambiguity and learned helplessness. The aim of the study was to observe the effect of organisational climate, tolerance of ambiguity and leaned helplessness on managerial effectiveness and creativity. The study is exploratory in nature based on survey type research with a sample size of 64 managers from private and public sector organisations. Managers were approached and asked to fill up the scales, which are standardised tools measuring organisational climate, tolerance of ambiguity, learned helplessness, managerial effectiveness and managerial creativity. The obtained results show no significant relationship between organisational climate dimensions and managerial creativity.

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Working Papers | 1999

Reproductive Health Camps: As Innovative Approach to Integrating Reproductive Health Intervention in Primary Health Care

Sinha Harshit and Dileep Mavalankar

The International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) held at Cairo in 1994 recommended a comprehensive Reproductive Health (RH) programme to replace domographically oriented Family Planning (FP) programmes. Owing to serveral constraints in the PHC system in India it has become challenging to provide RH services through the PHC system. In India Camp approach has been used in various other health programmes including family planning to increase coverage of services within the available limited resources. We have tried out use of camp approach to proved higher quality RH services on periodic basis at the PHCs in one taluka (sub-district). This intervention was carried out in Sanand taluka by the joint efforts of Indian Institute of Management, and District Health Office of Ahmedabad District Panchayat under the RH project which is supported by the For Foundation. The camp approach to RH services involved three phases, the first was a experimenting and learning phase when large camps were conducted over on year periodically in each PHC. The second phase was revision of the strategy based on the experience of the first phase to make the camps a routine monthly activity at the PHC and the third was the phase of sustainability testing by handing over the camp organization to the PHCs. The paper present the details of this intervention, the type of the disease seen and learning from it. Learnings from experience of camp approach points out that such services not only increase the credibility and capacity of PHC system, but provides good and cost-effective strategy for early identification and treatment of chronic RH problems. It also attracts the community as they see more value for their time and effort. The paper also present cost calculations of this camp based strategy to RH deliver services. This experience shows that this camp based approach has the potential of being replicated on wider scale as an intermediate strategy for providing RCH services in the country like India.

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Working Papers | 1999

A Note on Characterising the Median

Lahiri Somdeb

Consider the situation where one has to choose one among three differently priced birthday cakes, to give to a friends. It is very likely, that in the absence of strong personal reasons, one would select the cake whose price lies between the two extremes. A similar emphasis on the middle path is found in the teachings of Buddha as also in Confucian philosophy. That the choice of an alternative from a finite set of alternatives, need not conform to some optimising behaviour, is a possibility that has been discussed in Baigent and Gaertner (1996). In a sense this is a position on human behaviour which is contrary to the received view of a decision maker as an optimizer of some objective function that is favored for instance by Sen (1993). That the median does not satisfy the requirements of underlying optimising behaviour has been noted by Kolm (1994) and Gaertner and Xu (1999). However, the median is a reasonable compromise, in practical decision making.

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Working Papers | 1999

Policy Initiative of Centre-Sponsored Programmes in the Health Sector and Its Implications for Financial and other Resource Flows

Bhat Ramesh

The central sponsored programmes (CSPs) have been one key policy initiative of the Government of India to support the health sector programmes directly, even though the health has remained the State subject. The Centre provides direct support to the States in meeting both recurring and non-recurring expenditure of programmes under this policy initiative. It was envisaged that the centralised focus would provide proper direction and thrust to specific health problems of national importance and management and implementation issues could be handled more effectively. The paper review the experience of CSPs using family welfare programme as a case study. It is argues that CSPs have prevented the policy makers to develop a sector-wide view of health programmes. The result is that there is less coordination across different agencies and stakeholders. Mechanisms of information sharing and coordination, pivotal from sector management viewpoint, between various programmes are almost non-existent at both macro and micro level. Though various policy instruments the centre has emphasised its role as major provider of services. There has been less clarity on the roles and responsibilities of the centre as financial intermediary for mobilising resources (e.g., interface of Centre and States with external agencies), allocating resources to states mostly as grants and systems of ensuring end use of resources. Where the CSP policy had envisaged protecting he funding and administering specific components of the health sector programme effectively, this policy has led to number of unintended consequences. There are no financial systems ensuring basic financial management discipline to handle the present day complexities of the programme management in many CSPs. These have created more fragments than integrated the process of management at the micro levels. No one assumes the risk of non-availability of key resources to implement the programme objectives effectively and States do not exhibit sense of ownership of these programmes. Changes and implementation strategies are generally top-driven which have aggravated the problems of programme management. The Centre tends to use uniform approach to manage the programmes despite the wide diversity at ground level conditions and variation in availability of necessary infrastructure. Criterion for allocating the resources lacks transparency not only from centre to states but also from states to districts and equity issues in resource allocation are not addressed. The CSPs have not helped the states to develop their capacity to manage the programmes and has displaced alternative sources of funding. Long-term sustainability o f these programmes remains a major issue. Over the period the uncertainties in resource flows have grown considerably and have affected the programme implementation. Emanating from these, by-passing the State treasury has become one important character of these programmes in recent times. This is reflected through various policy instruments such as provision of kind resources (drugs and other supplies) directly by the centre to the implementing agencies in the districts and through the creation of registered societies. This paper attempts to describe recent developments in financial disbursement systems and development of new management structures and brings out number of important institutional issues, which need the attention of policy makers.

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Working Papers | 1999

An Exact Formulation and Algorithm for Two Commodity Capacitated Network Design

Sastry Trilochan

We study the capacitated version of the two commodity network design problem, where capacity can be purchased in batches of C units on each arc at a cost of wij greater than equal 0, dk greater than equal 0 units of flow are sent from source to sink for each commodity k. we characterize optimal solutions for the problem with fixed costs and no flow costs, and show that either [dk/C]C or ([dk/C]-1)C units of each commodity are sent on a shortest path, and the remaining flows possibly share arcs. We show that the problem can be solved in polynomial time. Next, we describe an exact linear programming formulation, i.e., one that guarantees integer optimal solutions, using O(m) variables and O(n) constraints. We also interpret the dual variables and constraints of the formulation as generalizations of the arc constraints and node potential for the shortest path problem. Finally, we discuss several other variations of the single and two commodity problems.

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Working Papers | 1999

Progress and Challenges of Health Sector: A Balance Sheet

Bhat Ramesh, Dileep Mavalankar, and Satia J K

Considerable progress has been made in improving the health status of the population over the last half-century. Despite this impressive progress, many challenges remain. The life expectancy is still 4 years below world average. So is under five mortality (12 per 1000 per year) higher that global average. Lot needs to be achieved in managing the communicable diseases. New disease patterns and non-communicable diseases are also emerging as major challenges. In this paper we make an attempt to explain the tardy progress in the health sector. The programme management by public sector, allocation of public resources to health sector, centre-state roles and financing of programmes, private sector role, contribution and role of NGOs, public-private partnerships in health have been discussed to paint a broad picture. The paper suggests that key challenge in the next century is the leadership challenge and reforms in the health sector require several measures. First, it requires a policy and programme emphasis that ensures access to quality primary health care for all. Second, there is need for inclusive political dialogue and decision making which will involve community groups representing voices of the poor, local private sector and the government in operationalizing the new vision of health sector. Third, the social capital in the sector needs to be built up which will promote trust, cooperation and other norms that enable health markets to function effectively.

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