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Working Papers | 2004

Consistent Measurement of Fiscal Deficit and Debt of States in India

Karan Navendu and Ravindra H. Dholakia

There are differences in the definition of debt used by different bodies like the state governments, Reserve Bank of India, the Office of Comptroller and Auditor General of India and the Eleventh Finance Commission. Moreover, none of these definitions satisfy the criterion that fiscal deficit in a given year should equal the sum of increase in debt and monetisation. This paper attempts to estimate debt in a theoretically consistent and appropriate manner for 15 non special category states and 10 special category states for the period 1989-90 to 2003-04, which are then used to obtain effective interest rates for these states. We observe that non-special category states have a significantly greater probability of fiscal sustainability than the special category states. Moreover, when the trends in the proportion of debt of each state in the aggregate of all states is compared with trends in similar proportions of fiscal transfers from the centre and that in primary deficit on own account, we find that certain states have benefited by largesse from the centre despite a consistent bad performance while certain performing states have been penalized by reduced fiscal transfers.

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Working Papers | 2004

Operationalising Taylor-type Rules for the Indian Economy: Issues and Some Results (1992Q3 2001Q4)

Vineet Virmani

This study is an attempt to formulate a monetary policy reaction function for India. In particular I model backward and forward looking Taylor and McCallum rules for the period post BoP crisis. It is found that backward-looking McCallum rule tracks the evolution of monetary base over the sample period reasonably well, suggesting that RBI acts as if it is targeting nominal income when conducting monetary policy. Recent declaration by the RBI that reserve money is its operating target (Annual Reports, 2001-02 and 2002-03) lends support to the findings of the study.

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Working Papers | 2004

A Value-Based Approach for Sustainable Supplier-Customer Relationships: The Case of the Indian Steel Industry

Tripathy Arabinda and Seshadri D V R

The steel industry, which has endured years of mediocre performance due to a supply glut and consequent depressed world prices, has seen considerable resurgence during the last several months. The ever-widening demand-supply gap, and greatly increased input costs have resulted in prices firming up. The sharp increase in steel prices without any let-up is an issue that steel customers have found difficult to grapple with. Many customers believe that the steel industry is behaving opportunistically. The paper attempts to understand the dynamics of the Indian steel industry. Although the steel industry caters to both consumer (B2C) and business (B2B) markets, the focus of the paper is on the business markets, which accounts for 80% of the market. After presenting a picture of who the suppliers and customers of the steel industry are, the paper presents the various forces at play in the industry, a conceptual model to understand supplier-customer relationships in the industry, and traces the sources of animosity and hostility between the supplier and the customer firms. Forging meaningful value-based long-term relationships between supplier and customer firms as a way forward is explored. The paper presents possible remedies to the malady of distrust between customer and supplier firms. Collaborative working between competing suppliers and active pan-industry collaborative forums to bring better cooperation and trust between customer and supplier firms are essential first steps to bring normalcy back into the industry's functioning.

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Working Papers | 2004

Harnessing Wisdom for Managing Watersheds: Honey Bee Perspective on Innovations, Institutions and Policies for Marginal Environments

Chokkakula Srinivas, Muralikrishna S, Patel Kirit K, Sinha Riya, and Anil K. Gupta

Participatory approaches for watershed management are now considered essential for sustainable natural resources management and yet there is very little opportunity for intellectual participation by the people. This requires understanding of the local knowledge systems and their institutional context. In this paper, we provide an overview of the conceptual framework which can facilitate such participation. The full report being published separately includes case studies of farmers' innovations in natural resources management.

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Working Papers | 2004

Agricultural Biotechnology in India: Ethics, Business and Politics

Anil K. Gupta and Chandak Vikas

Development of sustainable pest management strategies in agriculture has become necessary in view of increasing non-viability of chemical based approach. Among various approaches for the purpose, policy makers have paid far more attention to biotechnological alternatives. The first transgenic variety was approved for commercial trials in cotton. However, some companies incorporate the Bt gene from the approved varieties in other varieties and released such hybrids to the farmers. It so happened that these hybrids though illegal and released unethically proved more remunerative to the farmers. As if this was not enough, farmers made crosses of this hybrid developed by NABARD seed company and developed their own locally suited varieties. The paper describes the ethical, business and political dimensions of agriculture biotechnology in India with specific reference to the experience of Bt cotton in Gujarat. The neglect of IPM, herbal pesticides and bio control methods becomes even less justified when state not only tolerates but also encourages widespread experimentation of Bt cotton without any regulation or monitoring. Implications for future policy for technological change have been outlined in the paper.

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Working Papers | 2004

Marketing of Fruits and Vegetables in India: A Study Covering the Ahmedabad, Chennai and Kolkata Markets

Vasant P. Gandhi and Namboodiri N V

There has been concern in recent years regarding the efficiency of marketing of fruits and vegetables, and that this is leading to high and fluctuating consumer prices and only a small share of the consumer rupee reaching the farmers. Marketing of horticultural crops is complex especially because of perishability, seasonality and bulkiness. The study seeks to examine different aspects of their marketing, focusing particularly, on the wholesale markets for fruits and vegetables which have been established to overcome deficiencies and improve the marketing efficiency. Results indicate that in Ahmedabad the direct contact between commission agents and farmers is very low. For vegetables this is 50 percent and for fruits only 31 percent. Further, in the system of transaction, secret bidding and simple transaction dominate and open auction is relatively rare. In KFWVM, Chennai, the wholesalers act as commission agents and receive consignments directly from producing centers through agents or producers. By and large the system of transaction remains traditional and open auction is rarely seen. This is one major reason for poor efficiency. However, in the small AUS market in Chennai, the farmers sell directly to consumers. The share of farmers in the consumer rupee in Ahmedabad was 41.1 to 69.3 percent for vegetables and 25.5 to 53.2 percent for fruits. In Chennai KFWVM, the farmers share was 40.4 to 61.4 percent for vegetables and, 40.7 to 67.6 percent for fruits. In the small AUS market in Chennai, where the farmers sell directly to the consumers, the share of farmers was as high as 85 to 95.4 percent for vegetables. This indicates that if there are few or no middlemen, the farmers' share could be much higher. In the Kolkata market the share of farmers ranged from 45.9 to 60.94 percent for vegetables and 55.8 to 82.3 percent for fruits. Thus, the shares are frequently very low, but somewhat better in Chennai, lower in Kolkata and even lower in Ahmedabad. The margin as a percentage of farmer-consumer price difference (an efficiency measure) shows that in Ahmedabad, the margins are very high and range from 69 to 94 percent. In Chennai they range from 15 to 69 percent, and in Kolkata they range from 46 to 73 percent. The high percentage of margin to farmer-consumer price difference is indicative of large inefficiencies and relatively poor marketing efficiency. There is great need to improve the marketing of fruits and vegetables. One important measure would be to bring more markets under regulation and supervision of a well-represented market committee. Another measure would be the promotion and perhaps enforcement of open auctions in the markets. Yet another measure could be efforts to bring more buyers and sellers into the markets, bringing them closer to perfect markets. The direct participation of farmers should be increased. Market infrastructure should be improved through storage (go-down) facilities, cold storages, loading and weighing facilities. Improvement in the road network, and cold-chain facilities are also of substantial importance. Greater transparency of the operations through supervision and systems can also help substantially. The market integration and efficiency can also be improved by making up-to-date market information available to all participants through various means, including a good market information systems, internet and good telecommunications facilities at the markets.

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Working Papers | 2004

Analysis of Public Expenditure on Health Using State Level Data

Bhat Ramesh and Jain Nishant

Increasingly the governments are facing pressures to increase budgetary allocations to social sectors. Recently there has been suggestion to increase the government budget allocations to health sector and increase it to 3 per cent of GDP. Is this feasible goal and in what time-frame? Health being State subject in India and much depends on the ability of the State governments to allocate higher budgetary support to health sector. This inter alia depends on what are current levels of spending, what target spending as per cent of income the States assume to spend on health and given fundamental relationship between income levels and public expenditures, how fast expenditures can respond to rising income levels. We present analysis of public expenditures on health using state level public health expenditure data to provide preliminary analysis on these issues. The findings suggest that at state level governments have target of allocating only about 0.43 per cent of SGDP to health and medical care. This does not include the allocations received under central sponsored programmes such as family welfare. Given this level of spending at current levels and fiscal position of state governments the goal of spending 2 to 3 per cent of GDP on health looks very ambitious task. The analysis also suggests that elasticity of health expenditure when SGDP changes in only 0.68 which suggest that for every one percent increase in state per capita income the per capita public healthcare expenditure has increased by around 0.68 per cent.

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Working Papers | 2004

Classification of Empirical Work on Sales Promotion: A Synthesis for Managerial Decision Making

Vyas Preeta H and Mehta Bijal

Sales Promotion activities have gained strategic focus as markets are getting complex and competitive. Key managerial concerns in this area are budget allocation across elements of promotions as well as trade vis. consumer promotion, how to design individual sales promotion techniques and a calendar in face of competitive promotions, how to manage them and evaluate the short-term and long-term impact of the same. The objective of this paper is to present, through Meta-analysis, an overview of recent contributions appearing in scholastic journals relevant to the field of Sales Promotion, to classify them into different classificatory framework, report key findings, highlight the managerial implications and raise issues. The database used is the EBSCO host available on VSLLAN (Library)- Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad). The selection procedure consisted of peer-reviewed scholarly contributions for recent five year period. Out of more than 700 articles 64 article were selected which were analyzed for classifying them into • Perspective addressed: Manufacturer, retailer or consumer. • Market [country where the research was undertaken] • Type of promotion activity addressed - coupon, contest, price cut etc. • Management function addressed: planning, implementation, control [evaluation] • It was found that majority of the articles addressed manufacturers perspectives ; almost all studies were done in developed countries ; coupon as a consumer promotion tool was widely researched; and more than half of the articles were addressing planning related issues. Finally attempt has been made to synthesize managerial implications of the studies under broad topic areas for guidelines for managers.

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Working Papers | 2004

Labour Market Deepening in the Indian Information Technology Industry: An Exploratory Analysis

Rakesh Basant and Rani Uma

The Indian Information Technology (IT) sector has seen significant growth in terms of employment and revenue and is expected to provide quality employment to a large number of workers in the coming years. A more widespread participation of workers with different skill/education profiles, gender, regions etc. would facilitate deepening of the labour market and eventually reduce costs. The only data on the IT industry that has been analyzed so far is based on surveys conducted by the National Association of Software and Services Companies (NASSCOM). NASSCOM estimates are essentially based on data collected from its members. While the estimates are considered to be reasonably reliable, one is not sure of the coverage of IT firms by NASSCOM, particularly of small IT firms and hardware firms. Besides, the estimates may not adequately capture employment of IT workers in IT using sectors. It is, therefore, desirable to explore other data sets to analyze issues relating to the IT labour market in India. This paper is an attempt in this direction and hopes to provide a tentative understanding of the processes that have been important for the evolution of the IT labour market in India. It analyses NASSCOM and National Sample Survey (NSS) data to explore the processes that deepen the IT labour market in India. The analysis suggests that deepening is actually taking place but the pace can probably be enhanced. Transition to the off-shore model, growth of the ITES sector, competition and infrastructure led movement of IT activity to smaller cities and hiring of workers with diverse education backgrounds and of women workers has facilitated the deepening processes. These processes will need to be intensified in order to further deepen the market and enhance employment opportunities.

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Working Papers | 2004

Intellectual Property and Innovation: Changing Perspectives in the Indian IT Industry

Rakesh Basant

Indian government has undertaken significant modifications in the IP regime of the country. This will lead to a realignment of business strategies by firms in several sectors. Similarly, with liberalization and globalization, new opportunities for IP creation may emerge for Indian firms. In this context, the paper attempts to document the emerging perspectives vis-à-vis IPRs in the Indian IT industry and explore factors that are driving the change in perspectives. Large IT firms and firms in high-end niche areas are proactively seeking IP based growth strategies. While they typically seek IP protection in Western nations and not so much in India, this has led them to perceive restrictive IP regimes more positively. IP regimes in the West are more relevant for IP creating Indian IT firms today but this may change in the near future as Indian market expands. Significant IP creation by MNC subsidiaries in India is also contributing to this change in perception. Survey data show that an average IT firm in India also perceives IP protection as an important appropriability mechanism, but access to markets and relevant complementary assets continue to be more important for appropriating profits from their economic activity. A positive view of the restrictive IP regimes also gets reflected in the demands of Indian industry associations for changes in the Indian law. Broadly, these changes in perceptions seem to be linked to the evolving global production networks, changing activity profile of Indian IT firms, emerging business opportunities and changes in the competitive scenario. The understanding of Indian IT firms of the complexities of IP regimes remains rudimentary and they will need significant preparation to deal with these IP related challenges.

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