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Working Papers | 2006

IIMs Expansion - Myths, Realities and Policy Choices

Gupta Ramesh

This paper suggests a roadmap for IIM Ahmedabad to increase its intake substantially with available resources in its flagship 'Post Graduate Program in Management' (PGP equivalent to MBA). Solutions for other IIMs should be similar as all share similar programs, ethos and culture; differences would be only in details. The suggested measures are: a) Restructure Fellow Program in Management (FPM)-IIMs Ph.D. Program Currently 22 equivalents of faculty resources are used in teaching 10-15 FPM students in the second year alone. Only 6-8 students graduate every year. To justify efficient use of available faculty resource - FPM intake either should be increased four-fold (to 60 from present 15), or merge all streams and award 'Fellow in Management' with specialization at thesis stage. This is very common in many universities facing similar constraints. The first option would increase supply of faculty for hire in future (should have been done lone time ago); the second would immediately release 15 faculty for PGP expansion. b) Review expansion plans of PGP for Executives (PGPx). There is not much international about its student body or academic offering. Admitted students are mostly NRIs who are seeking leverages with PGP brand for better placement abroad after getting the cheapest possible MBA in the world. Moreover, it is heavily subsidized Rs. 3 lakh per participant (Rs. 2 crore for current batch) just to recover direct cost. c) Require faculty who migrated to centers/groups (like health, energy etc.) to have same teaching load as others. All these centers are leveraging on PGP brand and concerned faculty involved must fulfill their obligations to PGP. d) At present two dorms on new campus are kept for non-regular events (cultural and intellectual). These can house 60 students on regular basis. Temporary arrangements can be planned for non-regular events. e) There is no justification for offering married accommodation for one year program on campus, particularly when IIMs practice a 'pressure cooker' approach of teaching. Families with children are distraction. Two students can easily be put in newly built apartments accommodating additional 100 participants. To sum it up, IIMA can increase its PGP intake substantially by a) better utilization of physical infrastructure b) better faculty time management by restructuring programs and active faculty recruitment in deficit areas; and c) by defining its priorities more sharply. IIMs PGP product is the best and why dilute it by allowing remotely related activities to have free ride on it? The paper also covers issues like autonomy, increasing role of alumni and almost extinct faculty governance. It is not concerned with 'OBC reservation policy'.

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Working Papers | 2006

Capacity Management of Intensive Care Units in a multi-specialty Hospital in India

Vohra Seema, Goutam Dutta, and Ghosh D K

In this paper, we describe the capacity management of Intensive Care Units (ICUs) in a 300-bed multi-specialty hospital where the alternative ICU is utilized when the appropriate ICU is full for a set of two types of ICUs. Inter-arrival time and service time distributions in these ICUs have been tested and found to be exponentially distributed. While most capacity management models are deterministic in nature, we have developed a queuing model to provide a basis for decision-making in the design and management of these ICUs. The model results in around 19800 linear steady state equations, which are solved using the CPLEX linear optimization solver. Based on real data available from a hospital in India, the results demonstrate that the utilization of the ICU beds will improve up to 28 percent when admissions to the alternative ICU are permitted.

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Working Papers | 2006

Small and Medium Enterprise in India - Overcoming Policy Constraints to Achieving Rapid Growth in a Globalizing Economy

Sebastian Morris and Rakesh Basant

Sustained very high rate of growth (above 8% in the context today in India) would be able to achieve (since a labour productivity growth of 4 to 4.5 % is to be factored in) a labour absorption rate of 3.5 to 4% which is about a percent above the growth in the rate of the workforce. But slower growth of around 6% which is what India seems to be achieving in the 90s on an average would keep disguised unemployment alive for long. Similarly, the transformation of firms and especially SMEs which have little autonomous capacity is itself a function of growth oriented policies. In the nineties labour has been sufficiently flexible to allow rapid growth whenever demand was high. In any case the unorganised workers, did not have the ability to resist hire and fire. Demand has been lower than possible otherwise since the rupee especially in comparison to the East Asian currencies has not been aggressively priced. Lacking a very rapid growth in the market sufficient to overcome disguised unemployment, the transformation of these industries has itself been affected. Similarly the continuation of tariff inversion, high and uncompensated energy taxes hurt manufacturing and especially the small and medium sector whose dependence on relative factor cost is higher. The slow movement towards de-reservation has further attenuated the process. The dynamic inefficiencies and distortions are far more significant than the static efficiency penalty that the economy pays in the continuation of reservation. Without these corrections the move to have "free-trade" agreements with the ASEAN countries would hurt manufacturing in India and especially the SMEs. Many of the traditional small firms are in clusters, and a cluster oriented approach would be important for their success. A strategy based on leveraging trade names /brand names, many of which could be argued to be "geographic indicators", with much equity world wide, would require immediate changes in our intellectual property rights regime. Costs of excise registration and dealing with excise authorities are too large, and there is a fixed component to this cost which cannot be spread over a large value of turnover. Only significantly lower excise rates for small firms could compensate them sufficiently. The criteria of "with and without the use of power" in the Factories Act, be entirely dispensed with. All units with more than 50 employees including the entrepreneur and family labour, be brought /retained under (all) the provisions of the Factories Act. And all other units be entirely exempt from its provisions. Credit is the single most important constraint for small firms. Incentivisation of priority sector targets is the solution. The policy of directed lending to small firms (the targets for priority sector lending) ought to shift from targets or quotas to incentives to banks for lending to small firms. Responsible risk taking in lending would have to re-emerge. Tax based incentives for banks and financial intermediaries are possible. Statutory Reserves based incentives for banks too are possible. Concessions on interest rates are dysfunctional, though the margin above PLR rates ought to be subject to a ceiling. State Finance Corporations which could play a crucial role in financing of SMEs would have to go through quick restructuring and refocus on promotion of new enterprises typically where vast positive external effects are anticipated, such as in technology based small firms, promising industries, nodal industries, industrial estate corporations, in exchanging specific infrastructural support to existing clusters of small firms, etc. Investments in infrastructure especially general roads, power, railways, and water supply would help to improve the performance of small firms significantly. For all small firms power and water continue to remain constraints shamefully after nearly 10 years of reform. These can easily come down at least for export industries if the taxes and cross subsidies on them are made vattable. Despite the Electricity Act 2003, it is shameful that open-access has not been extended to SMEs. Technology based and skill labour using industries such as IT, BT, pharmaceuticals and auto oriented industries, also need to be exploited. In automobiles taxes are still very large and the inverted tariffs / high cost of materials and energy that are uncompensated hurt the prospects of India emerging as a base for manufactures. In IT, Biotechnology, pharmaceutical industries and other related offshoring activities the challenges lie in bringing about better IPR regimes that reduces the risk faced by foreign firms in their operations in India. IPR regimes requiring much insight would have to be worked work out that is able to balance the interest of Indian firms and yet lead to much industrial relocation. The addition of a petty patent register could considerably enhance the extraction of value from the many innovations that take place in the SME sector. Municipal infrastructure is inadequate and its correction in at least a few cities is of crucial importance to the growth of the off-shoring activities and growth in these industries. Financial institutions could usefully develop strong venture capital arms to finance innovative small firms that have a good potential to emerge in the near future in many industries. Problems with government procurement which are designed to fail keeps alive a very large market for shoddy goods among SMEs. Merging of the umpteen laws and regulations into one wherever feasible can reduce the currently large costs of SMEs in dealing with government.

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Working Papers | 2006

Factoring affecting the Demand for Health Insurance in a Micro Insurance Scheme

Jain Nishant and Bhat Ramesh

Health insurance schemes are increasingly recognised as preferable mechanisms to finance health care provision. In this direction micro health insurance schemes and community based health insurance schemes are assuming significant importance in reaching large number of people. However, at the community level despite low premiums the penetration of health insurance is small. The objective of this paper is to analyse factors determining the demand for private health insurance in a micro insurance scheme setting. The study uses two-stage model to examine this issue. First, we determine the factors which affect the insurance purchase decisions and at second level we focus on studying factors which affect the amount of insurance purchase using Heckman two-stage estimation procedure. The data of this study is based on survey and collection of primary data from the Anand district of Gujarat where Charotar Arogya Mandal is offering a health insurance scheme. The results indicate that income and healthcare expenditure are significant determinants of health insurance purchase. Age, coverage of illnesses and knowledge about insurance were also found to be affecting health insurance purchase decision positively. For the decision regarding amount of health insurance purchase, income was found to be having significant but non-linear relationship. In addition, number of children in the family, age, and perception regarding future healthcare expenditure were also found to be significant. The study discusses implications of these results.

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Working Papers | 2006

Issues and Concerns in the Implementation and Maintenance of HRIS

Manjari Singh and Krishnan Sandeep K

The paper looks at the issues and concerns faced by nine Indian organisations in implementing and managing HRIS. The organisations are diverse in terms of size and sector that they belong. The critical success factors and weaknesses in various stages of implementing an HRIS are explored in the paper. The problems are rooted in mainly two factors. One is the fact that HR department lacks knowledge about HRIS and hence is not able to clearly elucidate the requirements of the system. Poor need assessment is a continuation of this problem. Second is the lack of importance given to HR department in the organisations. The spectrum of cases covered shows the clear variation in terms of the success of implementation. In poorly managed implementations, the potential of HRIS has been under-utilised. Only a few modules have been implemented and at best HRIS's role is that of a centralised database. Very high dependence is placed on the vendors without having a clear idea about how to select vendors or a proper process or contract to ensure vendors' accountability. Another area of concern is that level of cooperation needed across various functions and divisions of the organisation for proper implementation of HRIS is also lacking. User satisfaction is low because there is minimal user involvement in the implementation project and the implemented package is not user-friendly.

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Working Papers | 2006

Can Businesses in India ever resolve Disputes Speedily and Effectively?

Anurag K. Agarwal

Business disputes are like cancer which should be stopped from spreading as soon as possible. Litigation is the least favoured method of resolution for a variety of reasons-delay being the foremost. Alternative Dispute Resolution (ADR) methods like negotiation, mediation, conciliation, arbitration are currently in vogue. Unfortunately, there is a strong feeling in India that extra-legal methods provide timely solutions for business disputes. This does not augur well for the business environment. The paper examines the business dispute resolution scenario in India and provides suggestions for making it more speedy and effective in a legal manner.

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Working Papers | 2006

A First Cut Estimate of the Equity Risk Premium in India

Samir K. Barua and Jayanth R. Varma

We estimate the equity risk premium in India using data for the last 25 years. We address the shortcomings of existing indices by constructing our own total return index for the 1980s and early 1990s. We use our estimates of the extent of financial repression during this period to construct a series of the risk free rate in India going back to the early 1980s. We find that the equity risk premium is about 8¾% on a geometric mean basis and about 12½% on an arithmetic mean basis. There is no significant difference between the pre reform and post reform period: the premium has declined marginally on a geometric mean basis and has risen slightly on an arithmetic mean basis. The reason for this divergence between the sub period behaviour of the two means is the increase in the annualized standard deviation of stock market returns from less than 20% in the pre reform period to about 25% in the post reform period. The higher standard deviation depresses the geometric mean in the post reform period.

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Working Papers | 2006

An empirical investigation into randomly generated Euclidean symmetric traveling salesman problems

Diptesh Ghosh and Megha Sharma

The traveling salesman problem is one of the most well-solved hard combinatorial optimization problems. Any new algorithm or heuristic for the traveling salesman problem is empirically evaluated based on its performance on standard test instances, as well as on randomly generated instances. However, properties of randomly generated traveling salesman instances have not been reported in the literature. In this paper, we report the results from an empirical investigation on the properties of randomly generated Euclidean traveling salesman problem. Our experiments focus on the properties of the edge lengths and the distribution of the tour lengths of all tours in instances for symmetric traveling salesman problems.

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Working Papers | 2006

Missing Issues in the Debate on Reservation

Sebastian Morris

The issue of reservation has been presented as arising out of educational and social backwardness of the OBCs. Except in nomenclature there is no substantial evidence to show that most or even the majority of the 'jatis' that constitute the OBCs are educationally backward. The heterogeneity within what is an administrative grouping (and that too residually defined as non-upper caste and non SCST essentially) is far too large. And the systematic regional differences in the educational and economic achievements of the OBCs would not warrant the lazy position of class=caste from which the reservation agenda has been both presented and discussed. The assumed parallelism with SCST reservation are just not there. Neither the argument for creating a middle class, nor the need to overcome social ostracism and untouchability are relevant in this case. The issue is at best (to the extent that some of the OBC jatis are backward educationally) one of access which is overwhelming an issue of economic ability and performance of the state in the provision of educational services. Moreover the fact that as much as 20-25% of enrollment in higher education being from the OBCs makes us ask the question: Is the initiative that has the potential to divide the country worth addressing a non-problem or at best a most ill-stated one? The Supreme Court having placed 'social and educational equality' above equality under law, if it has to be true to the spirit and letter of this very position would have to address the issue of educational deprivation far more comprehensively than is presented by the reservationists. It cannot accept a report merely because it has the imprimatur of the executive. It needs to understand the nature of the unholy alliance of all political parties on this issue. Much of the deprivation has to do with performance of the state and its educational machinery. State failure in regulation of both public and private education, shameful underfunding of the public education system at the primary and secondary levels especially in much in much of north and central India, the wanton destruction of most of the universities leaving much of their fare all but worthless are the real problems. These now create a scarcity for quality education and that makes the issue of reservation politically appropriable in a most perverse and reprehensive manner and which could never solve either the problem of higher education or the problem of access that much of the OBCs (as much as the Indian population as a whole) face. The Supreme court must see through this game. After all it can insist on compulsory primary education and fully funded quality primary and secondary education to begin with, which could then start the process of the real problems being addressed.

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Working Papers | 2006

On Estimability of Parsimonious Term Structure Models: An Experiment with Three Popular Specifications

Vineet Virmani

This study addresses operational issues in estimation of parsimonious term structure models. When using price errors, objective function in term structure estimation is a highly non-linear function of the parameters. This necessary entails using numerical optimization techniques for estimation, which brings to fore the issue of (sensitivity of results to) the choice of initialization of the optimization routine. This study assesses the sensitivity of the final objective function value and the final parameter vector to the choice of the initial vector for three popular specifications, namely, Nelson-Siegel (1987), Svensson (1994), and Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (1985). It turns out that given the nature of the objective function, the choice of the starting vector is far from obvious in all three cases. There exist regions in the shape of the objective function in all three where a slight change in (seemingly reasonable) initial vector takes one far from optimum. Choice of the (range of) 'best' starting vector turns out to be an empirical matter. Grid search is recommended. One must first get to a subset of initial values which results in the objective function value near the minimum and then assess the sensitivity of the final parameter vector to those (subset of) initial values. The study illustrates the process using a typical trading day's data. [Preliminary Draft. Please Don't Quote]

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